SpaceX and Google's Push to Put AI Data Centers in Orbit Draws Sharp Skepticism Over Cost and Safety

Should companies pursue launching orbital AI data centers?

SpaceX has filed with the FCC for a constellation of up to one million satellites designed to run AI workloads in orbit, part of a broader race that includes Google's Project Suncatcher, Blue Origin's Project Sunrise and the startup Starcloud. Starcloud, a Redmond, Washington company valued at $1.1 billion after raising $170 million, became the first company to run an Nvidia H100 GPU in space when it launched a satellite in November 2025 and used it to train a small AI model. Google has separately built radiation-hardened chips and tested high-speed optical links in the lab, with prototype satellites planned for 2027.

The push comes as terrestrial data centers face mounting local resistance over electricity and water use. Backers argue orbit offers constant solar power at a fraction of the cost of grid electricity and requires no cooling water at all. But Varda Space Industries, a competing orbital manufacturing company, estimates that compute in space currently costs roughly three times more per watt than ground-based equivalents once launch, radiation-hardening and maintenance are factored in.

None of the proposed constellations are expected to operate at scale before 2027 at the earliest, and engineers still have to account for radiation exposure, orbital debris and the near impossibility of physically repairing a satellite thousands of miles up. That timeline hasn't slowed the wave of investment, with SpaceX's plans emerging alongside its own IPO buildup and Jeff Bezos separately predicting gigawatt-scale space data centers within a decade.

What supporters say:

  • Backers argue solar power in orbit is virtually unlimited and free of the cooling-water and land-use conflicts driving opposition to new terrestrial AI data centers.

  • Companies like Starcloud and Google note they've already run live GPU and language-model workloads in orbit, arguing the technology works today rather than remaining a concept.

  • Investors point to falling launch costs from reusable rockets as the missing piece that could finally make orbital compute economically competitive.

What critics say:

  • Varda Space Industries estimates orbital compute costs roughly three times more per watt than ground-based data centers once launch and hardening costs are included.

  • Engineers warn that radiation exposure, orbital debris and the impossibility of on-site repairs make large-scale orbital data centers far riskier than anything built on Earth.

  • Skeptics note that ambitious space ventures have a history of missed timelines and question whether a technology with no operational constellation yet deserves its current billion-dollar valuations.

What's your take?

Should companies like SpaceX and Google pursue orbital AI data centers? Yes ↑ No ↓ Other ◇

Sources:

#AI #SpaceX #DataCenters #SpaceTech #Google


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